Tropical Storm Erin Expected To Intensify Into A Hurricane As It Tracks Through The Atlantic
- - Tropical Storm Erin Expected To Intensify Into A Hurricane As It Tracks Through The Atlantic
Jennifer Gray August 12, 2025 at 11:00 PM
Tropical Storm Erin is tracking westward through the open Atlantic waters and should become increasingly organized in the coming days, potentially reaching major hurricane intensity this weekend as it tracks just north of the Caribbean islands, where it could bring rain and gusty winds.
Erin's longer-term future through next week is still somewhat uncertain, so interests from the U.S. East Coast to Bermuda should continue to monitor the forecast.
(MORE: Erin Maps Tracker - Spaghetti Models, Forecasts, More)
Path, Intensity Forecast
Tropical Storm Erin is located more than 1700 miles east of the northern Leeward Islands. The storm has been dealing with cooler water and a general lack of unstable air.
Erin is forecast to track westward for now, with a slow bend to the west-northwest later this week. There has been a recent southward trend in computer model guidance that has slightly shifted the forecast track in that direction.
This path will take Erin toward increasingly warmer waters, which in tandem with low wind shear, should allow the storm to become a hurricane by Wednesday night or Thursday.
Erin could reach Category 3 strength by this weekend as it moves just north of the Caribbean islands.
Storm Info And Projected PathPotential Impacts
-Caribbean: Even if the core of Erin passes north of the northeast Caribbean islands, it could still deliver some impacts.
In addition to high surf and dangerous rip currents, bands of heavy rain containing gusty winds could impact the northern Leeward Islands Friday night into this weekend. That includes the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico.
-Bermuda, U.S. East Coast: This weekend into early next week is when this system will begin to turn more to the north between a developing break in high pressure. Where that turn occurs between the area of high pressure over the eastern U.S. and another one east of Bermuda is still uncertain and will determine what, if any, land areas might see impacts next week.
The probability of a landfall from Erin along the U.S. East Coast is low at this time. However, interests along the East Coast should continue to monitor this system for possible changes. Erin will generate high surf and dangerous rip currents along the U.S. East Coast next week, no matter where it tracks.
Bermuda should also continue to follow Erin's forecast closely since its eventual turn toward the north and northeast might take it close to the archipelago next week.
Check back to weather.com and The Weather Channel app in the coming days for updates as the forecast comes more into focus.
Jennifer Gray is a weather and climate writer for weather.com. She has been covering some of the world's biggest weather and climate stories for the last two decades.
Source: “AOL AOL General News”
